A selling climax is extreme panic selling. Volume spikes to 3-5× average as capitulation unfolds. The following candle's reversal often marks a major low. Trade the bounce after confirmed climactic exhaustion.
- Sharp decline over previous 3-10 candles (clearly oversold visually)
- Current candle: volume > 3× 20-period average
- Range > 2× 20-period ATR (extreme volatility)
- RSI(14) < 20 (extreme oversold)
- Next candle closes green with range > average
- Enter long on close of the reversal candle
- Stop: below climax candle's low
- Target: 50% retrace of the decline, 3R minimum
- Decline driven by major negative news (ongoing catalyst)
- Multiple climactic candles (each worse than last). Not one capitulation
- Broader market collapsing simultaneously. Idiosyncratic bounces fail in risk-off
Selling climaxes fail during genuine crises because the 'catalyst' keeps generating new waves of selling. This strategy works best in technical corrections without fundamental catalysts. In crashes (2008, 2020-Mar, 2022-Q2), each climax just precedes another.